Are Markets overestimating 2025 Investment Opportunities with Aahan Menon
What does 2025 have in store for investors? Join us as we dive deep into the markets, macroeconomics, and the evolving landscape of risk and opportunity with Aahan Menon, Founder and CEO of Prometheus Research. In this special kickoff-to-2025 episode of Raise Your Average, Aahan breaks down his systematic and probabilistic approach to navigating today’s unpredictable economic environment, shares his investment outlook, as well as asset allocation. You may be surprised. Key Insights: Macro Trends for 2025: How growth, inflation, and interest rates are setting the stage for the year ahead. Managing Risk: Why a systematic framework is essential in a time of elevated uncertainty. Market Narratives Unpacked: The disconnects between popular sentiment and economic data. Probabilities, Not Predictions: How Prometheus Research quantifies risk and uncovers market opportunities in real time. Actionable Takeaways: Prometheus' 4 ETF portfolio model, for investors looking to stay ahead of the curve in a rapidly shifting environment. Quote of the Episode: "Investing today isn’t about certainty—it’s about managing probabilities in a world of growing complexity." – Aahan Menon Chapters: 00:00 Introduction and Guest Welcome 01:19 Ahan Menon's Investment Framework 01:58 Market Dynamics and 2024 Review 05:48 Economic Indicators and Forecasts 10:21 Interest Rates and Economic Impact 24:51 Liquidity Conditions and Market Implications 46:52 Manufacturing Sector Challenges 53:15 Challenges in the Manufacturing Sector 53:26 Impact of Borrowing and Leverage 53:58 Wage Costs and Interest Burden 54:46 Investment and Borrowing Trends 56:10 Commodity Market Dynamics 58:02 Alpha Portfolio Strategies 01:01:38 Manufacturing and Economic Growth 01:03:53 Recession Indicators and Economic Slowdown 01:11:29 Real Estate Sector Analysis 01:17:14 Signal Strength and Portfolio Allocation 01:21:34 Bond Market Insights 01:31:58 Commodity Market Outlook 01:36:12 Asset Allocation - What to do now 01:43:40 Conclusion and Final Thoughts Stay Ahead of the Curve: Subscribe to Raise Your Average for more market insights, expert interviews, and actionable strategies to elevate your investing game. Connect with Us: Follow Aahan Menon on Linkedin Prometheus Research on Substack ReSolve Asset Management Mike Philbrick on Linkedin #Investing2025 #RaiseYourAverage #MarketInsights #EconomicOutlook #PrometheusResearch
