Typhoon Rolly Live Update 8:00pm October 31, 2020 Signal 5?-Kasing lakas nga ba ni Yolanda o Ondoy?

SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #10 FOR: TYPHOON "#RollyPH" (GONI) TROPICAL CYCLONE: WARNING ISSUED AT 8:00 PM, 31 October 2020 (Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today) TYPHOON "ROLLY" MAINTAINS ITS STRENGTH AS IT THREATENS BICOL REGION. Track and intensity outlook: • Track: On the forecast track, the center of the eye of the typhoon is likely to make landfall over Catanduanes tomorrow early morning, then it will pass over mainland Camarines Provinces tomorrow morning, and over mainland Quezon tomorrow afternoon. Violent winds and intense rainfall associated with the inner rainband-eyewall region will be experienced over Catanduanes, Camarines Provinces tomorrow early morning through afternoon and over Quezon tomorrow afternoon through evening. After crossing the Southern Luzon - Metro Manila area, the center of “ROLLY” is forecast to exit the mainland Luzon landmass on Monday early morning. • Intensity: “ROLLY” is likely to remain a typhoon category (185-215 km/h) by the time it makes landfall. While traversing over Luzon, “ROLLY” is forecast to weaken considerably and emerge as a severe tropical storm or minimal typhoon over the West Philippine Sea. Hazards affecting land areas: • Rainfall: Tonight, the outer rainbands of "ROLLY" will bring light to moderate with at times heavy rains over Bicol Region, Visayas, and Quezon. Beginning tomorrow early morning, the passage of Typhoon “ROLLY” will bring heavy to intense rains over Metro Manila, Bicol Region, CALABARZON, Aurora, Bulacan, Zambales, Bataan, Marinduque, Romblon, Occidental Mindoro, and Oriental Mindoro. Moderate to heavy rains with at times intense rains will be experienced over Cagayan Valley, Cordillera Administrative Region, Ilocos Region, and the rest of Central Luzon. Flooding (including flash floods), rain-induced landslides, and sediment-laden streamflows (i.e. lahar) may occur during heavy or prolonged rainfall especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards. PAGASA Regional Services Divisions may issue local thunderstorm/rainfall advisories and heavy rainfall warnings as appropriate. • Strong winds: Very destructive typhoon-force winds will be experienced in areas under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) #4, destructive typhoon-force winds in areas under TCWS #3 damaging gale- to storm-force winds in areas under TCWS #2, and strong breeze to near gale conditions in areas under TCWS #1. Potential impacts of the wind conditions to structures and vegetation under each wind signal are detailed in the TCWS section of this bulletin. Elsewhere, strong breeze to near gale conditions due to the northeasterlies will be experienced over Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, Apayao, and the coastal and mountainous areas of Cagayan and Isabela (that are not under TCWS #1). • Storm surge: There is a high risk of storm surge of more than 3.0 m over the northern coastal areas of Quezon including Polillo Islands, Camarines Provinces, and Catanduanes; 2.1 to 3.0 m over the coastal areas of Manila, Cavite, Bulacan, Pampanga, Bataan, the southeastern coastal area of Batangas and the southwestern coastal area of Quezon; 1.0 to 2.0 m over the coastal areas of Aurora, Zambales, Occidental Mindoro, the rest of the coastal areas of Bicol Region, Batangas, and Quezon within 24 hours which may result in life-threatening and damaging coastal inundation. This storm surge may be accompanied by swells and breaking waves reaching the coast. For more information, please refer to Storm Surge Warning #1 issued at 2PM today posted on PAGASA’s official website. Hazards affecting coastal waters: • Today, rough to phenomenal seas (2.5 to 15.0 m) will be experienced over the seaboard of areas where TCWS is in effect and rough to very rough seas (2.5 to 5.0 m) over the remaining seaboards of Northern Luzon and the eastern seaboards of Eastern Visayas (that are not under TCWS) and Caraga. Sea travel is risky for all types of seacrafts over these waters, especially those under TCWS. • Moderate to rough seas (1.2 to 2.5 m) will be experienced over remaining seaboards of the country. Mariners of small seacrafts are advised to take precautionary measures when venturing out to sea. Inexperienced mariners should avoid navigating in these conditions. Other tropical systems being monitored: At 7:00 PM today, the center of Tropical Depression “ATSANI” was estimated at 1,480 km East of Southern Luzon (14.4°N, 137.9°E). It currently has maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h near the center and gustiness of up to 70 km/h. It is moving northwestward at 25 km/h and is forecast to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility tomorrow afternoon. However, it remains less likely to affect any portion of the country over the next 2 to 3 days. It is likely to re-intensify into a tropical storm in the next 24 hours.